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Inkstain Blog’s River Beat: A forecast for decline on the Colorado again this year

Posted by: Maven on January 15, 2012 at 6:13 am

From the Inkstain Blog:

“It’s all fun and games until you actually have to measure snow.

The US Bureau of Reclamation’s first 2012 Colorado Basin reservoir forecast (the “24-month study”, pdf) projects a decline in total storage in lakes Mead and Powell, the Colorado River’s largest storage reservoirs, of 844,000 acre feet, or 2.76 percent.

There are two ways of framing this.

Let me start with the pessimistic, illustrated by this graph [available on click-through] comparing the December and January projections. The December projection is based on no real forecast at all, but rather what amounts to an assumption of normal snow. … “

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